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Most major forecasts believe that mortgage rates will ultimately trend down this year. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesThis week's average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 7.17%, according to Freddie Mac. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates inched up to 6.44% this week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates increased dramatically over the last two years, but they're expected to go down at some point this year.

Persons: Fannie Mae, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Reserve, US, of, Zillow, Federal Reserve Locations: Chevron

☆ A trading coach explains how intraday traders can use one tool to bet on rising gold prices and parlay their wins into extraordinary gains
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-27 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

These events tend to bring participation to the gold market because the commodity is viewed as a haven, he said. However, since the spot gold market is larger than the futures market, there is a tremendous amount of selling and buying volume for trading gold directly, which creates market depth at all times, he said. This creates more opportunities to capitalize by trading gold directly. However, in most cases, given the depth of the spot gold market (XAU/USD), order slippage is minimal, he noted. TradingViewHe emphasized that spot gold is often traded through an over-the-counter broker, and the volume bars may not be visible.

Persons: Shain Vernier, Vernier, isn't, it's, TradingView Organizations: Service, Business, HowToTrade.com, Traders, Bollinger, TradingView Locations: Iran, Israel

☆ A 32-year market vet warns underlying weakness in the labor market is on the verge of showing up in monthly jobs data — and shares an ominous chart showing why the S&P 500 could be set to fall more th
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-27 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewLooking at the headline numbers, the US labor market is booming. OVOM Research/Bullandbearprofits.comWolfenbarger's views in contextOther market observers have started to warn of a weakening labor market in recent months. Ian Shepherdson, the chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, shared several indicators in a client note earlier this month warning of a job market slowdown ahead. Pantheon MacroeconomicsBut whether the labor market actually weakens materially remains to be seen. AdvertisementIf Wolfenbarger is right and the labor market falls apart in short order, it could catch an exceptionally bullish market off guard.

Persons: —, Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, Wolfenbarger, Louis, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson, There's Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Business, Labor Statistics, Fed, Conference, Treasury, OVOM, Pantheon, National Federation of Independent

An effort to give Trump more say on ratesThis week, investors had planned to examine the latest inflation data, due out at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Friday, for clues about when the Fed would start cutting interest rates. The Wall Street Journal reports that allies of Donald Trump are devising ways of watering down the central bank’s independence if he is re-elected president. But it also raises questions about whether such a plan is possible — or whether Trump’s Wall Street supporters would back it. Among the most consequential would be asserting that Trump had the authority to oust Jay Powell as Fed chair before Powell’s term is up in 2025. While Trump gave Powell the job in 2017, he has since soured on his pick for raising rates, and has publicly said he wouldn’t give Powell a second term.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jay Powell, Powell, wouldn’t Organizations: Trump, Street Journal, Wall

☆ Trump allies are drawing up plans to make the Fed less independent, report says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Allies of former president Trump are drafting plans to chip away at the independence of the Fed, The Wall Street Journal reported. Trump has not publicly acknowledged the plan, but sources said it has his blessing. The plan also suggests Trump could fire Jerome Powell before his term ends in 2026. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy .

Persons: Trump, Jerome Powell, —, Donald Trump's Organizations: Fed, Street Journal, Service, Republican, Federal Reserve, Street, Business

☆ WSJ's Nick Timiraos on Trump allies' efforts to erode the Fed's independence
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWSJ's Nick Timiraos on Trump allies' efforts to erode the Fed's independenceNick Timiraos, The Wall Street Journal chief economics correspondent, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss reports of Trump allies drafting plans to erode the Fed's independence if the former president wins the 2024 election, how plausible the scenario would be, and more.

Persons: Nick Timiraos Organizations: Trump, Street Journal

☆ Treasury yields ease slightly ahead of key inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 4.6754%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was last more than one basis point lower at 4.9850%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Friday as investors digested Thursday's gross domestic product report and looked ahead to the release of key inflation figures. The yields on the 10-year Treasury and 2-year Treasury had soared to their highest levels since November on Thursday, following the release of a weaker-than-expected U.S. gross domestic product reading. Fresh inflation insights are expected Friday in form of the personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's favored inflation gauge.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, PCE

☆ Cramer's week ahead: Fed meeting and earnings from Apple, Amazon, Eli Lilly
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It's a week jam-packed with notable events, including earnings from Apple , Amazon and Eli Lilly . He also said to pay attention to Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting and Friday's employment figures from the Department of Labor. "We have to run such a ridiculous gauntlet next week that I have no idea how it'll play out," he said. Wednesday also brings reports from Wingstop , Carvana and Marriott . Apple will report on Thursday, and Cramer noted there's been a lot of negative sentiment from investors surrounding the company.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly, Jensen Huang, Cramer, it's, he'll, Seagen, there's Organizations: Apple, Federal Reserve, Department of Labor, Nvidia, Food and Drug Administration, Starbucks, CVS, Pfizer, Amazon, Walgreens, Marriott, Vision Locations: It's, China, Wingstop, Carvana

☆ Trump's team wants to restructure the Fed and let him have a say on interest rate decisions: WSJ
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Some members of Trump's team want to restructure the Federal Reserve, the WSJ reported. That could include allowing the president to have a direct say on interest rate decisions. Trump has previously been critical of Powell's handling of interest rates during the pandemic. To help the Fed achieve its 2% inflation target, the Federal Open Market Committee has hiked interest rates 11 consecutive times since March 2022. Advertisement"I think he's going to do something to probably help the Democrats, I think, if he lowers interest rates," Trump said, adding that "it looks to me like he's trying to lower interest rates for the sake of maybe getting people elected."

Persons: Jerome Powell, —, Donald Trump, Trump, President Trump, Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, Powell, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Joe Biden, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Biden Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Street, Trump, Management, Federal, Fed, Fox News, Republican, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, Biden, GOP Locations: New York

☆ All the data so far is showing inflation isn't going away, and is making things tough on the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Finally, consumers are dipping into savings to fund those purchases, creating a precarious scenario, if not now then down the road. With unemployment under 4%, it shouldn't be that surprising that prices aren't" going down, said Joseph LaVorgna, chief economist at SMBC Nikko Securities. So you might have a sticky inflation scenario." "If inflation remains higher, the Fed will be faced with the difficult choice of pushing the economy into a recession, abandoning its soft-landing scenario, or tolerating inflation higher than 2%," Sanders said. "To us, accepting higher inflation is the more prudent option."

Persons: Justin Sullivan, Joseph LaVorgna, LaVorgna, Donald Trump, Biden, Mike Sanders, Sanders Organizations: Getty, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Nikko Securities, National Economic Council, Madison Investments Locations: San Rafael , California, U.S

☆ Stagflation fears just hit Wall Street. Now for the next crucial report on prices
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —The Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation reading is due Friday morning. Investors are nervously awaiting the report after first-quarter US GDP came in softer than expected Thursday. Stocks tumbled as the slowdown in GDP, coupled with stubbornly high inflation data, stoked fears of stagflation. Wall Street earlier this year expected that the central bank would ease rates as many as six times in 2024, beginning in March. Yellen said the weaker reading was not “concerning,” mentioning that measures of underlying growth were strong in Thursday’s report.

Persons: Stocks, ”, Ayako Yoshioka, Janet Yellen, Alessandra Galloni, Alicia Wallace, ” Yellen, “, we’ve, Yellen, Read, Freddie Mac, Bryan Mena, Lawrence Yun Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Atlanta, Fed, Thursday’s, Group, Traders, Bank of America, Reuters, National Association of Realtors Locations: New York, Yellen

☆ The Fed will be the main event in the week ahead that includes a jobs report, more tech earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

On top of that, the latest U.S. jobs market scorecard will be released along with more mega-cap earnings. This week, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly climbed above 4.7% for the first time since November. That's down sharply from the six or seven rate cuts investors were anticipating coming into the year. April jobs Investors will also get an update on the labor picture next week, with the release of the April nonfarm payrolls report set for Friday. Corporate earnings season will also ramp up in the week ahead with a slew of consumer-facing companies set to report.

Persons: Stocks, Powell, David Alcaly, Jerome Powell's, we've, they're, Brian Nick, Matt Stucky, it's, Stucky, Dow Jones, Nick, Archer, Eli Lilly, Kraft, Estee, Ingersoll Rand, Stanley Black, Decker, Hershey Organizations: Nasdaq, Google, Microsoft, Treasury, Lazard Asset Management, Macro, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Fed, Apple, Micro Computer, Dallas Fed, Paramount, ON Semiconductor, Chicago PMI, Prudential Financial, Devices, Storage, Diamondback Energy, Caesars Entertainment, Corning, Daniels, Midland, Molson Coors Beverage, Marathon Petroleum, GE Healthcare Technologies, PayPal, ADP, P Global, Manufacturing, Oil, MGM Resorts International, Allstate, Etsy, eBay, Qualcomm, MetLife, First, Devon Energy, Cruise Line Holdings, Brands, Marriott International, Kraft Heinz, Pfizer, Companies, CVS Health, Generac, Mastercard, Labor, Nation Entertainment, Booking Holdings, Natural Resources, Motorola Solutions, Expedia, EOG, Coterra Energy, Dominion Energy, Howmet Aerospace, ConocoPhillips, Moderna, PMI, Services PMI Locations: U.S, Chicago, McDonald's, Albemarle, EOG Resources

☆ Trump allies' plans to erode Fed's independence is 'incredibly dangerous': Semafor's Liz Hoffman
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump allies' plans to erode Fed's independence is 'incredibly dangerous': Semafor's Liz HoffmanLiz Hoffman, Semafor business and finance editor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss reports of Trump allies quietly drafting proposals that would attempt to erode the Fed's independence if the former president wins the 2024 election, how plausible the scenario would be, and more.

Persons: Liz Hoffman Liz Hoffman Organizations: Email Trump, Trump

☆ Gold on track for first weekly dip in six; focus on U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An employee handles one kilogram gold bullions at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold was little changed on Friday ahead of a key U.S. inflation report, but prices were on track for their first weekly drop in six weeks on easing concerns of a major escalation of the Middle East crisis. Focus now turns to March's core Personal Consumption Expenditures, or PCE, index data due later on Friday — the Fed's preferred measure of inflation — for further clues on the U.S. rate outlook. The dollar index was headed for its biggest weekly dip since early March, making the greenback-priced bullion less expensive for other currency holders. Spot silver rose 0.2% to $27.49 per ounce, spot platinum rose 0.8% to $921.45 and palladium gained 1.4% to $988.22.

Persons: Gold, Yeap Jun Rong, Jun Rong Organizations: Co, Federal Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S

☆ Key Fed inflation measure rose 2.8% in March from a year ago, more than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Inflation showed little signs of letting up in March, with a key barometer the Federal Reserve watches closely showing that price pressures remain elevated. The personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy increased 2.8% from a year ago in March, the same as in February, the Commerce Department reported Friday. Including food and energy, the all-items PCE price gauge increased 2.7%, compared to the 2.6% estimate. The Fed targets 2% inflation, a level that core PCE has been above for the past three years. Services prices increased 0.4% on the month while goods were up 0.1%, reflecting a swing back in consumer prices as goods inflation dominated since the early days of the Covid pandemic.

Persons: Dow Jones, George Mateyo Organizations: Reserve, Commerce Department, Dow, Treasury, Key Wealth, Fed, Labor Department

☆ Stock market today: Indexes gain as investors assess new inflation data and latest earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Max Adams | Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose on Friday as markets assessed new inflation data in the form of March PCE. The Fed's preferred gauge showed inflation rose 2.8% year-over-year, slightly higher than estimates. AdvertisementUS stocks climbed on Friday, with investors digesting new inflation data and cheering earnings from mega-cap tech titans Microsoft and Alphabet. Personal consumption expenditures data showed prices rose more than expected last month. The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation showed an uptick of 2.8% versus estimates of 2.7%.

Persons: —, Clark Bellin Organizations: PCE, Microsoft, Google, Service, Federal, Bellwether

☆ 'The Fed is giving us a gift by keeping rates high,' says Greenwich Wealth's Vahan Janjigian
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'The Fed is giving us a gift by keeping rates high,' says Greenwich Wealth's Vahan JanjigianVahan Janjigian, CIO of Greenwich Wealth Management, Marc Giannoni, chief U.S. economist at Barclays, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss the potential for rate cuts, outlooks on economic data, and more.

Persons: Janjigian, Marc Giannoni, Steve Liesman Organizations: Greenwich, Greenwich Wealth Management, Barclays

☆ Europe is beating inflation. Why can’t America declare victory?
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The Fed aims to keep inflation at 2% over the longer run. Meanwhile, among the 20 countries that use the euro, annual consumer price inflation has slowed steadily since the start of the year. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said earlier this month that she would favor a rate hike “should progress on inflation stall or even reverse.”So why does the United States appear to have a bigger inflation problem than Europe? Some economists argue there isn’t actually much daylight between the US and European rates of inflation, pointing to a quirk in the US measures. The measure is designed to track inflation in the real estate market while accounting for the fact that most Americans own their homes.

Persons: Michelle Bowman, Paul Donovan, Simon MacAdam, ”, MacAdam, ” Carsten Brzeski, Janet Yellen, Jim Watson, Brzeski, “, ” Davide Oneglia Organizations: London CNN, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, PCE, UBS Global Wealth Management, Capital Economics, ING, CNN, Monetary Fund, Washington, Reuters, Getty, —, ECB, Lombard Locations: United States, Europe, Centreville , Maryland, AFP, Russia, Ukraine

☆ Things went the wrong way for the Fed in the first quarter, says Evercore ISI's Krishna Guha
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThings went the wrong way for the Fed in the first quarter, says Evercore ISI's Krishna GuhaKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI vice chairman, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, interest rate outlook, news of Trump allies drafting plans to erode the Fed's independence if he wins the 2024 election, and more.

Persons: Evercore ISI's Krishna Guha Krishna Guha, Evercore Organizations: Fed, Trump

☆ We have more insights as to where the economy is headed — and it's not good
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, we're looking at how the latest GDP data has shifted the expectations of where the economy is headed. Now, the economy will need some type of event (see: bubble popping) for rate cuts to become an option anytime soon, Miskin said. Energy price shocks could bring the world economy to a "vulnerable moment," chief economist Indermit Gill warned.

Persons: —, TikTok, they're, you'd, Jia Feng, It'll, Insider's Madison Hoff, It's, Jerome Powell, Anna Moneymaker, BI's Filip De Mott, Jamie Dimon, Matt Miskin, Miskin, Mark Zuckerberg, C, Cox, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Goldman Sachs, Guess what's, Indermit Gill, Alphabet's, Redmond, Tyler Le, Doug McMillon, execs, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Reserve, stagflation, JPMorgan, Wall Street, John Hancock Investment Management, Galatioto Sports Partners, Bank, Google, Big Tech, Microsoft, Health, Linkedin, YouTube, ExxonMobil Locations: Chevron, New York, London

☆ Trump advisors are considering plans to dramatically revamp the Fed, WSJ report says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Former US President Donald Trump speaks to members of the media at Manhattan criminal court in New York, US, on Thursday, April 25, 2024. The plans, which the Journal report described as highly secretive, are part of a 10-page document that suggests Trump — if elected — would be consulted on interest rate decisions. Along with those proposals, the draft contends that Trump could remove current Fed Chair Jerome Powell from office and require that Fed policy be aligned with the administration's goals. While in office, Trump harshly criticized Powell and his fellow central bankers as they were raising interest rates and reportedly considered ousting him. Trump campaign officials told the Journal that the draft proposals shouldn't be considered "official."

Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal, Wall, Treasury Department Locations: Manhattan, New York

☆ BofA's Savita Subramanian: More to the S&P 500 than just semiconductors and megacap tech companies
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA's Savita Subramanian: More to the S&P 500 than just semiconductors and megacap tech companiesSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.

Persons: Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities

☆ The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge just moved in the wrong direction
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

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☆ Bets on Rate Cuts This Year Are Fading Away
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | More About Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

At the start of 2024, investors expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates substantially this year as inflation cooled. Investors and economists are questioning when and how much Fed policymakers will manage to cut rates — and some are increasingly dubious that Fed officials will manage to lower them at all this year. Inflation’s stickiness has prompted Fed officials to signal that it may take longer to reduce interest rates than they had previously expected. Policymakers raised interest rates to 5.33 percent between March 2022 and last summer, and have held them there since. Investors who came into the year expecting a first rate cut by March have pushed back those expectations to September or later.

Persons: Inflation’s stickiness Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investors

Mortgage rates should go down later this year, increasing affordability for many hopeful homebuyers. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-year Fixed Mortgage RatesThe average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 7.17% this week, according to Freddie Mac. 15-year Fixed Mortgage RatesThis week, average 15-year mortgage rates were 6.44%, a five-basis-point increase from the previous week, according to Freddie Mac data. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Persons: Freddie Mac, Lawrence Yun, homebuyers, you'll, it's Organizations: National Association of Realtors, NAR, Zillow, Federal Reserve Locations: Chevron

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